No, it’s not the end of the world. I’ve just finished watching the unbelievably bad documentary called “2012: Science or Superstition”. As many of my readers know, I’m an anthropologist and I try to avoid judging the beliefs of others, especially when those beliefs attempt to criticize the problems of modern consumer culture. In this case, however, what we have are half-baked new-age ideas in favor of there being some kind of Mayan end-of-cycle astrology mixed with some of the most idiotic, irrational arguments I have ever heard. The only reasonable people in the video who criticize the doomsayers, notably Dr. Anthony F. Aveni, professor of Astronomy and Anthropology at Colgate University.
Frankly, the odds of the world ending this year are very small. It could happen. An asteroid from outer space could kill us all, like the dinosaurs. Yosemite’s caldera could blow. Nuclear Armageddon could wipe us out (still!). However, the odds of this happening this particular year are extremely remote and the odds that, after the predicted date of December 21, 2012, we will still have Christmas to enjoy are excellent. I will go so far as to offer any amount of money on this subject, although I think the odds that anyone would take the bet are pretty tiny.
End of the world concerns (like Y2K or the delusions of the book of Revelations or the predictions of the end times suggested by doomsayers throughout history) are bullshit, pure and simple. The end of the world will come, for humans, but it won’t come because some jackass predicted when it would come or why. It will happen due to natural processes that could be explained by reasonable scientific inquiry, although, of course, there will be no one around to perform the autopsy. The death of the sun is the most likely cause of the end of the Earth. What kills our species will likely be the failure of our species to adapt to the inevitably changing environment of the future.
Obsessions of this kind are emblematic of a type of fantasy life that people have indulged seemingly forever. We have always fantasized about end times, usually when we are unhappy with the way things are RIGHT NOW. The book of Revelation, for example, was written during a time of religious repression of early Christians. Other claims related to the end of times have been gladly taken up by disenfranchised peoples who have yearned for an upset of the game board rather than continuing the play of a losing round. So far, it hasn’t happened yet.
I should make it clear, I believe that this is not the best of all possible worlds and I yearn for improvement on a number of fronts. However, I believe this change will take place as a result of hard work on the part of reformers and innovators rather than on those that abandon the process and take up residence in a cave some place.
More depressing is the consideration that apocalyptic thinkers/believers have developed a culture that perpetuates the problems that plague us all. A cult of believers has arisen that holds conferences, sells books and t-shirts, and consoles one another about this foolishness. Who can forget the people who gave up their life savings (and their children’s education funds) because of the idiotic predictions of end times in 2011? The worst aspect of these delusional people is the fact that the production of proof to the contrary seldom changes anyone’s mind… Alas.
Further, even fantasy apocalypses, like those in video games (”Mass Effect”) or “The Walking Dead” TV show encourage people to disengage and avoid resolving the problems that bedevil them in their day-to-day life. Sure, you can lose your job, your health insurance, your home, and your civil liberties. But you can still drop out and play your game or watch your show and fantasize about the END OF DAYS.
“Après moi, le déluge” said Louis the 14: “After me, the flood.” That is, after me, the end. Consoling yourself in this fashion is hardly new, but it is no less foolish.
Eventually, one of these dorks will be right. Coincidence will eventually seem to validate any jackass, no matter how ridiculous it may seem. But it will be coincidence, not foresight.